Pamela S. Perlich
March 27, 2014


County level population estimates for July 1, 2013 just released from the Population Division of the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that net in-migration has returned to Utah. This migration is concentrated in the urban core counties of Salt Lake, Utah, and Davis as well as Washington County in southwestern Utah, and the energy production counties of Duchesne and Uintah.  Notably, the two college-dominated counties outside the urban core, Iron and Cache, are estimated to have had net out-migration. Coal counties, Emery and Carbon, are also estimated to have had net out-migration.


At the state level, the Utah population is estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau to have increased by 46,001 residents in the year ending July 1, 2013 to reach 2,900,872.  Natural increase is estimated to be 35,965 and net migration is estimated to be 9,920. The annual increase exceeds the 2012 increment by about 6,000. Because natural increase has been mostly flat, this incremental increase is accounted for by greater net in-migration. The estimated annual net in-migration of 9,920 in 2013 is the largest estimated net inflow since the onset of the Great Recession, and it provides additional evidence of the relative strength of the Utah economy.


At the state level, annual births peaked in 2007 and have declined annually since to 50,840 in FY 2013. Deaths have been mostly flat, declining slightly to 14,875 in FY 2013. The result is a slight decline in the natural increase component to 35,965 in FY 2013.  Net international immigration is estimated to be 4,353 and net domestic in-migration is estimated to be 5,567. Because of the current slow rate of international immigration to the U.S. and data and methods used by the U.S. Census Bureau, much of the estimated 2013 net international immigration is accounted for by returning LDS missionaries. So it is likely that the domestic flow